Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup Prediction | 21/06/2026

Uruguay face Cape Verde Islands in a World Cup encounter that promises to test both sides. With no standings data available, the focus is on individual match performance. Uruguay have been defensively solid at home, conceding just 0.5 goals per game on average. This defensive strength could be pivotal against a Cape Verde side that

15.06.2026 07:03
World Cup|21/06/2026
Uruguay
61%
VS
Cape Verde Islands
12%
61%
27%
12%
UruguayDraw 27%Cape Verde Islands
🏆
Prediction
Uruguay @ 1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.85
33% probability
🔁
Both Teams Score
NO @ 2.05
37% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Double Chance 1X @ 1.07
Uruguay are favoured to win with a 61% probability, which provides a slight value edge over the implied probability of 69.93%. Their home form is strong, with an average of 1.25 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game, compared to Cape Verde Islands' inconsistent away record. Given Uruguay's defensive solidity at home and their ability to grind out results, they are well-positioned to secure a victory.
💡 Uruguay have kept clean sheets in 50% of their last 20 matches, highlighting their defensive resilience. This is a crucial factor, considering Cape Verde Islands have failed to score in 20% of their games.
Final Result
Uruguay 2 : 2 Cape Verde Islands
Our prediction: 1 โœ—

Uruguay face Cape Verde Islands in a World Cup encounter that promises to test both sides. With no standings data available, the focus is on individual match performance. Uruguay have been defensively solid at home, conceding just 0.5 goals per game on average. This defensive strength could be pivotal against a Cape Verde side that has shown attacking flair, scoring 1.36 goals on their travels. With both teams aiming to assert dominance, this match will be a litmus test of Uruguay's home advantage against Cape Verde's away capabilities.

📊 Team Statistics
Uruguay
DDLDW
10
Draws
4
Losses
Avg Scored0.85
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.525%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets10
Failed to Score10
Home4W 3D 1L
Away2W 7D 3L
Cape Verde Islands
WWWLL
4
Draws
6
Losses
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded0.8
Over 2.535%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets9
Failed to Score4
Home7W 1D 1L
Away3W 3D 5L
๐Ÿ“Š Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.07
Double Chance X22.75
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.45

Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus

Uruguay's recent form is mixed, with their last five matches including a hard-fought win against the Dominican Republic and a resilient draw against England. Their defensive consistency is evident, but scoring remains a challenge. Cape Verde Islands, in contrast, have shown attacking prowess, with recent comfortable victories over Bermuda and Serbia. However, their consecutive losses against Chile and Egypt expose defensive frailties. Uruguay's solid home defence suggests they might handle Cape Verde's attack, while their own scoring struggles could mean a tight contest.

Prediction: What the Environment Suggests

Uruguay's strong home record should give them an edge against Cape Verde Islands, who struggle defensively away from home. The model suggests a 61% probability of a home win, with odds at 1.43 offering slight value. A Double Chance on Uruguay to win or draw at 1.07 is a safer option, given Uruguay's defensive strength and Cape Verde's inconsistent away performances. The prediction leans towards a narrow Uruguay victory.

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The Home Factor: How Much Does It Matter Here?

Uruguay's home advantage is notable, winning 50% of their last eight home games and conceding an average of just 0.5 goals. This contrasts with their away record, where defensive lapses have been more frequent. Cape Verde Islands, meanwhile, have a mixed away record, winning only 27% of their away games while conceding 1.18 goals per match. Though they score a respectable 1.36 away from home, their defensive vulnerabilities on the road could be exploited by Uruguay's home form. The data suggests home advantage could be a decisive factor here.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
What are the odds for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
The odds are as follows: Uruguay to win at 1.43, a draw at 4.3, and Cape Verde Islands to win at 7.3. Uruguay's odds represent a value given the model's 61% win probability, which is slightly higher than the implied 69.93%.
2
What is the correct score prediction for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0 to Uruguay, aligning with the predicted outcome. This is supported by Uruguay's xG of 1.63 compared to Cape Verde Islands' 0.6, indicating a tight match with Uruguay having the edge.
3
What does the head-to-head record say about Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
There is no head-to-head data available for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands, making it difficult to draw any historical conclusions from past encounters.
4
What is at stake in Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
With no standings data available, the emphasis is on this match's potential impact on team confidence and form. Both teams will look to establish themselves, with Uruguay keen to leverage home advantage.
5
Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
The Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.07, X2 at 2.75, and 12 at 1.17. The 1X option is particularly appealing, given Uruguay's strong home form and low odds of losing, providing a safety net for bettors.

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