Al Khaleej SaihatDraw 25%Al-Ahli Jeddah
🏆
Prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah @ 1.45
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.62
67% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.73
61% probability
Over 2.5 @ 1.62
Al-Ahli Jeddah averages over 2 goals per
game, while Al Khaleej Saihat is improving their scoring form. The model predicts a high-scoring match with a total xG of 3.16.
💡 Al Khaleej Saihat's recent home form shows an uptrend, scoring more than 2 goals in two of their last three matches.
Final Result
Al Khaleej Saihat 1 : 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Our prediction: 2 ✓
The atmosphere is electric at the Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium in Dammam. Al Khaleej Saihat hosts Al-Ahli Jeddah in a crucial Pro League clash. Al Khaleej, sitting at 11th, aims to disrupt Al-Ahli, who are eyeing the top positions. The stakes are high as both teams enter with contrasting forms. The artificial turf under the floodlights sets the stage for a thrilling encounter.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.85
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets2
Avg Scored2.15
Avg Conceded0.9
Over 2.560%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets8
🏟️Venue
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
35,000 capacity · Artificial turf
⭐ Al Khaleej Saihat — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| K. Fortounis | Attacker | 10 | 12 | 7.67 | 29 | 100 |
| J. King | Attacker | 20 | 2 | 7.32 | 28 | 25 |
| A. Moris | Goalkeeper | 0 | 2 | 7.14 | 32 | 2 |
| G. Masouras | Midfielder | 12 | 3 | 6.93 | 31 | 33 |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | Midfielder | 1 | 1 | 6.91 | 8 | 5 |
⭐ Al-Ahli Jeddah — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| R. Mahrez | Midfielder | 4 | 8 | 7.53 | 27 | 77 |
| I. Toney | Attacker | 31 | 6 | 7.37 | 31 | 24 |
| Ibañez | Defender | 2 | 2 | 7.31 | 28 | 11 |
| Galeno | Midfielder | 1 | 7 | 7.20 | 23 | 26 |
| M. Demiral | Defender | 2 | 0 | 7.03 | 19 | 4 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.65
Double Chance X21.1
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Historical Data
In their last seven encounters, Al-Ahli Jeddah dominates with five wins. The average goals per match in these fixtures sit at 3.71, with a high 86% of games seeing over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 71% of these matches, indicating a tendency for open play. The most recent meeting ended 4-1 in Al-Ahli's favor, underscoring their attacking prowess.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model suggests a 2-1 victory for Al-Ahli Jeddah, with a total xG of 3.16. Confidence in this outcome is high at 88%, driven by Al-Ahli's superior form and scoring record. The odds for an Al-Ahli win are 1.45, compared to the model's 60% probability, indicating value. Over 2.5 goals is recommended at odds of 1.62, supported by both teams' scoring trends.
Statistical Deep Dive
Al Khaleej Saihat's recent form shows improvement, with two wins in their last two matches. They average 1.15 goals per game, conceding 1.85, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they score 1.2 and concede 2 per match. Their consistency is moderate with a standard deviation of 1.14. Al-Ahli Jeddah boasts stronger statistics, scoring 2.15 goals per game and conceding only 0.9. They maintain a stable form with a standard deviation of 1.42 and have recorded 8 clean sheets. Al-Ahli's away performance shows a scoring average of 1.75 goals, conceding 1.25. The odds reflect Al-Ahli's strength, priced at 1.45 for a win.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The
odds are Al Khaleej Saihat: 6.75, Draw: 4.33, Al-Ahli Jeddah: 1.45. This translates to implied probabilities of 14.81%, 23.09%, and 68.97%, respectively. Al-Ahli's
odds offer value against the model's 60% probability.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Yes, there is a strong case for over 2.5 goals. With a combined xG of 3.16 and 86% of their head-to-heads surpassing 2.5 goals, the
odds of 1.62 offer a solid
betting opportunity.
3
What is the best
bet for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The best
bet is Over 2.5 goals at
odds of 1.62. The model's probability exceeds the implied
odds probability, signifying a value edge.
4
Which players are key to watch in Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
For Al Khaleej Saihat, J. King is pivotal with 20 goals and a 7.32 rating. His scoring ability is crucial for any upset. Al-Ahli Jeddah's I. Toney, with 31 goals and a 7.37 rating, remains a constant threat, known for his clinical finishing.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Draw No
Bet means a draw returns your stake. Al Khaleej Saihat DNB is priced at 4.50, while Al-Ahli Jeddah is at 1.18. Al-Ahli's option offers better value given their form.
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Pro League20.05.2026
