Aston VillaDraw 23%Nottingham Forest
🏆
Prediction
Nottingham Forest @ 4.2
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.95
54% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.85
60% probability
Nottingham Forest
Win @ 4.2
Nottingham Forest have won their last five matches, averaging 2.33 goals per away
game. Aston Villa's recent form shows inconsistency, especially at home where they concede 1.5 goals per
game.
💡 Nottingham Forest's away form is explosive, scoring 2.33 goals per match, a threat Aston Villa's defense must brace for.
Final Result
Aston Villa 4 : 0 Nottingham Forest
Our prediction: 2 โ
Aston Villa hosts Nottingham Forest on May 7, 2026, in a UEFA Europa League clash. Villa sits second in the league with 21 points, while Forest is thirteenth with 14 points. Both teams seek crucial points for European play-off positions.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
โญ Aston Villa โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bizot | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.48 | 4 | 0 |
| E. Konsa | Defender | 2 | 0 | 7.21 | 10 | 1 |
| J. McGinn | Midfielder | 3 | 1 | 7.21 | 10 | 5 |
| T. Mings | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.17 | 3 | 1 |
| B. Kamara | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 7.02 | 6 | 4 |
โญ Nottingham Forest โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| N. Williams | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.22 | 14 | 16 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 7.22 | 11 | 23 |
| E. Anderson | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 7.17 | 11 | 21 |
| J. McAtee | Midfielder | 1 | 1 | 7.14 | 9 | 11 |
| N. Milenkoviฤ | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.11 | 14 | 4 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.22
Double Chance X21.95
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.4
Match Verdict
Nottingham Forest is the pick to win, priced at odds of 4.20. Their recent form and scoring prowess away from home make them formidable. Aston Villa's inconsistency, particularly in defense, could be exploited by Forest's attacking players like Hudson-Odoi. Expect a close battle, but Forest's upward trend and tactical edge give them the advantage.
Tactical Breakdown
Aston Villa utilizes a 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on key players like John McGinn, who has 3 goals and 1 assist this season, to control the midfield. Their defense, anchored by Ezri Konsa, will need to be vigilant against Forest's attacking threats. Nottingham Forest, also in a 4-2-3-1 setup, boasts a dynamic midfield with Callum Hudson-Odoi delivering 23 key passes. Expect Forest to leverage their midfield strength to disrupt Villa's play and create scoring opportunities.
Statistical Edge
Aston Villa averages 1.75 goals at home but concedes 1.5, indicating vulnerability. Their clean sheet rate stands at 25% across their last 20 matches. Nottingham Forest's away games see them scoring 2.33 goals while conceding 1.11 on average, showing a solid defensive setup. Aston Villa scores more in the first half with 15 goals, while Forest's scoring is balanced across halves.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest is predicted to
win with a 50% probability. They average 1.7 goals per
game and have a superior recent form with five consecutive
wins.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
The model's most likely
score is 1-2. Nottingham Forest's xG of 2.44 suggests they will outscore Villa, whose xG is 1.62.
3
Will both teams
score in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Both teams to
score is at 60%, with
odds of 1.85. Historical data shows BTTS occurred in 60% of their head-to-head meetings.
4
What is at stake in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa seeks to maintain their second-place position and secure a Europa League playoff spot. Nottingham Forest aims to climb from 13th and solidify their playoff contention.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Draw No
Bet refunds stakes on a draw.
Odds are 1.95 for Nottingham Forest and 1.22 for Aston Villa. This option offers better value for Forest given their strong form.
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UEFA Europa League07.05.2026
