AnderlechtDraw 25%St. Truiden
🏆
Prediction
St. Truiden @ 3
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.6
52% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.48
50% probability
St. Truiden arrive on the back of three straight
wins, showing strong away form with an average of 1.6 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per
game. Anderlecht's recent decline, with a trend of conceding 1.93 goals per
game, suggests vulnerability.
💡 R. Ito's creative spark for St. Truiden, boasting 101 key passes this season, could exploit Anderlecht's defensive frailties.
Final Result
Anderlecht 3 : 1 St. Truiden
Our prediction: 2 ✗
The atmosphere is electric as Anderlecht prepare to face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League on May 21, 2026. Both teams eye UEFA Europa League qualification, adding a layer of intensity to this encounter. Anderlecht, struggling with form, look to overturn recent disappointments, while St. Truiden, riding high on a winning streak, aim to solidify their position. The stakes are high, and every pass, tackle, and shot will be crucial in determining the outcome.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded1.7
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets3
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded1.05
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
⭐ Anderlecht — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| N. Angulo | Midfielder | 6 | 5 | 7.26 | 22 | 46 |
| T. Hazard | Midfielder | 13 | 7 | 7.10 | 34 | 77 |
| C. Coosemans | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 37 | 2 |
| B. Vroninks | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 1 | 1 |
| L. Augustinsson | Defender | 0 | 3 | 6.89 | 26 | 29 |
⭐ St. Truiden — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| A. Bertaccini | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 8.90 | 1 | 2 |
| L. Kokubo | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.26 | 38 | 0 |
| R. Ito | Midfielder | 10 | 5 | 7.25 | 35 | 101 |
| V. Musliu | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.10 | 28 | 4 |
| S. Taniguchi | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.10 | 37 | 10 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.38
Double Chance X21.67
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.5
Historical Data
In their last ten encounters, Anderlecht have had the upper hand with seven wins, but St. Truiden's recent victory in April could signal a shift. The average goals per match stands at 2.6, with Over 2.5 goals occurring 50% of the time. Both teams have scored in 40% of these clashes, suggesting a competitive fixture. Anderlecht's recent defensive struggles might offer St. Truiden, who have improved their scoring form, a chance to make their mark.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model favors a St. Truiden victory with a 41% probability, outpacing Anderlecht's 34%. A draw sits at 25%, reflecting the close contest expected. St. Truiden's odds of 3.00 present value against the model's prediction, especially given their recent form and Anderlecht's defensive weaknesses. The confidence score of 86% stems from data consistency and agreement on St. Truiden's upward trend, making them a strong pick for this encounter.
Statistical Deep Dive
Anderlecht's form has dipped, with only 5 wins in their last 20 matches. Their defense, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per game recently, faces a stern test against a St. Truiden side improving steadily. Anderlecht's home performance shows an average of 1.56 goals scored and conceded, suggesting potential for goals. St. Truiden, on the other hand, boast an impressive away record, averaging 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.9. Both teams prefer a 4-2-3-1 formation, promising a tactical battle. The expected goals model predicts a tight contest, with Anderlecht's xG at 1.06 and St. Truiden's at 1.55, indicating slight attacking edge for the visitors.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
Anderlecht: 2.15, Draw: 3.65, St. Truiden: 3.00. Anderlecht's implied probability is 46.51%, while St. Truiden's is 33.33%. The model suggests value in St. Truiden's
odds given their form.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
With an expected goals total of 2.61 and Over 2.5 occurring in 50% of their head-to-head matches, the
odds of 1.6 for Over 2.5 goals suggest a likely outcome. Yes, expect goals in this match.
3
What is the best
bet for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
The best
bet is St. Truiden to
win at
odds of 3.00. With the model probability at 41%, this offers a value edge over the implied
odds probability of 33.33%.
4
Which players are key to watch in Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
For Anderlecht, T. Hazard is pivotal, with 13 goals and 7 assists, influencing their attacking plays. R. Ito of St. Truiden, with 10 goals and 5 assists, is a creative force capable of unlocking defenses.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Anderlecht vs St. Truiden?
Draw No
Bet refunds the stake if the match ends in a draw.
Odds are: Anderlecht 1.53, St. Truiden 2.10. The latter provides better value given St. Truiden's current form.
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Jupiler Pro League21.05.2026
