⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.8
55% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.77
48% probability
Inter's recent form is formidable, with a strong attacking record of averaging 2.2 goals per
game. Their solid defense, evidenced by nine clean sheets, adds to their advantage. Lazio, despite an improving trend, struggles defensively at home, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per
game.
💡 Inter thrives in the second half, scoring the majority of their goals after the break, which could be pivotal given Lazio's vulnerability in the latter stages.
Final Result
Lazio 0 : 2 Inter
Our prediction: 2 โ
The tension is palpable as Lazio faces Inter in the Coppa Italia. The city buzzes with anticipation. Lazio arrives with a recent uptick in form, but Inter's dominance in head-to-head encounters looms large. This match is more than just a fixture; it's a battle for pride and progression. The pitch is ready, and the players are set to ignite the night.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored2.2
Avg Conceded1
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets9
โญ Lazio โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Zaccagni | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 4 |
| Mario Gila | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.45 | 4 | 0 |
| C. Mandas | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.30 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Romagnoli | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.23 | 4 | 0 |
| M. Guendouzi | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 1 | 0 |
โญ Inter โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| A. Bastoni | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Diouf | Midfielder | 2 | 0 | 7.45 | 4 | 4 |
| P. Suฤiฤ | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 7.45 | 4 | 7 |
| M. Thuram | Attacker | 2 | 1 | 7.33 | 4 | 1 |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 7.20 | 3 | 6 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.15
Double Chance X21.17
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Historical Data
In their last ten meetings, Inter has dominated with seven wins. The average goals per match stand at 3.2, with a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 40% of these encounters. Inter's recent 3-0 triumph over Lazio underscores their superiority, while Lazio's sole victory came back in 2022.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model favors Inter with a 68% probability of winning. Lazio's chances stand at 12%, with a draw at 20%. The expected goals suggest a 0-2 outcome. Confidence is high at 88%, driven by data points and form trends. The odds of 1.68 for an Inter win offer value against a model probability, making it the recommended bet.
Statistical Deep Dive
Lazio's recent form shows an upward trend with an average of 1.33 goals scored at home. However, their defense remains shaky, conceding 1.89 per match. Inter, in contrast, boasts an impressive attack, netting 2.2 goals per game and maintaining a solid defensive record with 1 goal conceded on average. With a 55% likelihood of matches going over 2.5 goals, Inter's consistency is highlighted by their nine clean sheets. Lazio's inconsistency is evident in their 1.04 standard deviation in goals.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Lazio vs Inter?
The
odds are 4.45 for Lazio, 3.95 for a draw, and 1.68 for Inter. Implied probabilities are 22.47% for Lazio, 25.32% for a draw, and 59.52% for Inter. Inter offers value compared to the model's 68% probability.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lazio vs Inter?
The expected goals total of 3.42 and a 55% season over 2.5 rate suggest a likely outcome.
Odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.8. Given the stats, a slight lean towards 'Yes' is advised.
3
What is the best
bet for Lazio vs Inter?
The best value
bet is an Inter
win at
odds of 1.68. The model probability is 68%, exceeding the implied probability, indicating a value edge.
4
Which players are key to watch in Lazio vs Inter?
For Lazio, M. Zaccagni stands out with 1 goal, 1 assist, and a 7.50 rating, offering creativity in attack. Inter's M. Thuram, with 2 goals, 1 assist, and a 7.33 rating, is pivotal in breaking defenses with his sharp attacking prowess.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Lazio vs Inter?
Draw No
Bet returns your stake if it ends in a draw.
Odds are 3.20 for Lazio and 1.28 for Inter. Given Inter's strength, it offers more security than a straight
win bet.
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Coppa Italia13.05.2026
