Prediction Almere City FC vs De Graafschap: 6/5/2026 – Eredivisie

NetherlandsEredivisie|06.05.2026
Almere City FC
47%
VS
De Graafschap
26%
47%
27%
26%
Almere City FCDraw 27%De Graafschap
🏆
Prediction
Almere City FC
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
63% probability
🔁
Both Teams Score
YES
62% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Almere City FC to Win
Almere City FC have a solid home form, winning their last two matches at Yanmar Stadion with an average of 2 goals scored per game. Their recent 3-0 victory against Den Bosch highlights their attacking prowess at home. De Graafschap's away form is less convincing, with a recent loss at Emmen. Given Almere's superior home scoring rate and De Graafschap's inconsistencies, the home side is favored.
💡 Almere City FC have scored in every home match this season, demonstrating a consistent attacking threat, while De Graafschap have conceded in 80% of their away matches, highlighting potential defensive vulnerabilities.

As Almere City FC prepares to host De Graafschap at the Yanmar Stadion in Almere, the stakes are high for both teams. Almere City FC, with a stable form, looks to consolidate their recent success and maintain their scoring momentum. De Graafschap, on the other hand, aims to bounce back from a mixed run of results. Historically, these encounters have been tightly contested, reflecting the competitive nature of the Eredivisie. With both teams averaging two goals per game, this fixture promises an engaging contest.

📊 Team Statistics
Almere City FC
WWLWL
2
Draws
8
Losses
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.575%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets4
De Graafschap
LWDWD
5
Draws
6
Losses
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.6
Over 2.570%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets5
๐ŸŸ๏ธ
Venue
Yanmar Stadion, Almere
4,501 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Almere City FC โ€” Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
M. DorsMidfielder118.9018
Niko Takahashi CendagortaDefender017.5012
F. DruijfAttacker107.5002
M. de HaanMidfielder007.2012
B. ReithDefender007.2012

Form & Key Players

Almere City FC's recent form has been bolstered by key performances from players like F. Druijf, who has been pivotal in their attacking setup. Their ability to score consistently, averaging two goals per game, showcases their offensive strength. Meanwhile, De Graafschap has been reliant on their sporadic offensive bursts, but their defensive lapses have cost them crucial points. With Almere's M. Dors contributing significantly in midfield, providing both goals and assists, the home side appears more balanced and equipped to exploit De Graafschap's defensive weaknesses.

Match Prediction

Considering the venue and current form, Almere City FC is favored to win this encounter. Their attacking efficiency at home, complemented by key performances from players like F. Druijf, positions them well against a De Graafschap side struggling for consistency on the road. With odds of 2.13 for an Almere win, this bet offers value against the model's 47% probability of a home victory. De Graafschap's defensive issues away from home could be their undoing, making Almere City the likely victors in this Eredivisie clash.

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Home Ground Advantage

Almere City FC enjoys a distinct advantage when playing at the Yanmar Stadion in Almere. The grass surface suits their attacking style, as evidenced by their average of 1.8 goals scored per home match. This home comfort has been pivotal in their recent victories, including a commanding 3-0 win against Den Bosch. Defensively, they have managed to keep their goals conceded to an average of 1.3 per game, which supports their overall stable defensive performance. In contrast, De Graafschap has shown vulnerability on the road, conceding 1.6 goals on average in away matches. This discrepancy in home vs. away performance could prove decisive, giving Almere City a psychological and statistical edge.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
What are the odds for Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
The odds are Almere City FC 2.13, Draw 3.70, De Graafschap 3.85. Almere City's odds present value with a model probability of 47%, compared to the implied probability of 46.95%.
2
What is the correct score prediction for Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
The model's most likely score is 1-1, but a 2-1 victory for Almere City is predicted, aligning with their superior xG of 1.8 compared to De Graafschap's 1.14.
3
What does the head-to-head record say about Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
In the last 10 meetings, Almere City FC has 3 wins, 3 draws, and De Graafschap has 4 wins. The average goals per meeting is 2.5, with Over 2.5 goals occurring 50% of the time.
4
What is at stake in Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
With no current league standings available, the focus is on maintaining form and momentum. For Almere, a win could strengthen their position as a formidable home team, while De Graafschap seeks to improve their away record.
5
Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
The Double Chance odds are 1X at 1.29, X2 at 1.87, and 12 at 1.35. The 1X option offers a combined model probability of 74%, making it a safe bet compared to the implied probability of 77.52%.

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