Liverpool hosts Chelsea at Anfield in a crucial Premier League clash on 09.05.2026. Liverpool’s home advantage is significant, scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, while Chelsea’s recent form has dipped with five straight losses. With Liverpool aiming for a Champions League spot and Chelsea fighting for a top-half finish, the stakes are high.
EPL Derby: Liverpool vs Chelsea – 9/5/2026 – England Premier League Prediction
Premier League09.05.2026
Liverpool
79%
VS
Chelsea
8%
Prediction
Liverpool @ 1.84
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.45
66% probability
★ BEST BET
Liverpool Win @ 1.84
Liverpool's strong home form, averaging 2.9 goals scored per game, contrasts sharply with Chelsea's declining trend and recent poor form, losing five consecutive matches. This statistical edge makes Liverpool favorites.
💡 Liverpool's home defensive record is compelling, conceding only 0.9 goals per match, which could be decisive against a Chelsea side struggling for goals.
Liverpool hosts Chelsea at Anfield in a crucial Premier League clash on 09.05.2026. Liverpool's home advantage is significant, scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, while Chelsea's recent form has dipped with five straight losses. With Liverpool aiming for a Champions League spot and Chelsea fighting for a top-half finish, the stakes are high.
Team Statistics
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
61,276 capacity · Grass
⭐ Liverpool — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. van Dijk | Defender | 4 | 0 | 7.25 | 35 | 11 |
| D. Szoboszlai | Midfielder | 6 | 5 | 7.24 | 33 | 65 |
| I. Konaté | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.11 | 33 | 7 |
| R. Ngumoha | Attacker | 2 | 0 | 7.00 | 16 | 12 |
| C. Gakpo | Midfielder | 7 | 5 | 6.95 | 33 | 49 |
⭐ Chelsea — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. James | Defender | 2 | 4 | 7.20 | 27 | 27 |
| M. Caicedo | Midfielder | 3 | 1 | 7.18 | 30 | 14 |
| E. Fernández | Midfielder | 8 | 3 | 7.16 | 33 | 65 |
| João Pedro | Attacker | 15 | 5 | 7.08 | 33 | 29 |
| C. Palmer | Midfielder | 9 | 1 | 7.02 | 23 | 24 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.25
Double Chance X21.91
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.14
Under 1.5 Goals5.5
Form Comparison
Liverpool's recent form shows a mixed pattern with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. At home, they are formidable, winning 10 of their 17 games this season. Chelsea, on the other hand, has struggled, losing their last five matches and showing a declining trend. Their away form includes 7 wins but also 6 losses, indicating inconsistency. Liverpool's stability at home contrasts with Chelsea's recent struggles, providing a clear momentum advantage for the hosts.
Expert Prediction
Given Liverpool's strong home performance and Chelsea's recent struggles, Liverpool is favored to win, priced at odds of 1.84. The pressure of securing a Champions League spot may motivate Liverpool, while Chelsea's form slump suggests they may struggle to compete effectively. The statistical model supports a Liverpool victory with a 79% probability. This match could be pivotal for Liverpool's European ambitions.
Match Stakes & Context
Liverpool currently sits fourth in the Premier League standings with 58 points, contending for a Champions League spot. They are closely followed by other top teams, making every point vital. Chelsea, in ninth place with 48 points, is looking to improve their league position and secure a top-half finish. The gap of 10 points between the two teams highlights different objectives, with Liverpool focusing on European qualification and Chelsea aiming to finish the season strongly.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
The BTTS probability is 53%, with Liverpool having a 50% BTTS rate in their last 20 matches. Chelsea's BTTS rate is also 50%. The odds for BTTS Yes are 1.42, indicating moderate confidence. Chelsea's clean sheet rate is lower, suggesting they are more likely to concede.
2
What does the head-to-head record say about Liverpool vs Chelsea?
In the last 10 meetings, Liverpool has won 5 times, Chelsea twice, and there have been 3 draws. The average goals per meeting is 1.8, with a 40% rate for Over 2.5 goals. Liverpool's slight dominance is evident, although recent encounters have been close.
3
What is at stake in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool is in fourth place with 58 points, targeting Champions League qualification. Chelsea, at ninth with 48 points, aims for a top-half finish. The 10-point gap highlights different priorities, with Liverpool focused on Europe and Chelsea on improving form.
4
5
Are there injury concerns for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool has several injuries, including S. Bajcetic, C. Bradley, and M. Salah, which could impact their lineup. Chelsea is without J. Derry and M. Mudryk due to suspension. These absences may influence team performance and dynamics.
