🏆
Prediction
OH Leuven @ 4.2
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.56
60% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.48
57% probability
OH Leuven's recent home form shows resilience, and with Genk's declining trend, the
odds offer value. The model gives OH Leuven a 40% chance, making the
odds attractive.
💡 Genk struggles away with a higher average of goals conceded, suggesting vulnerabilities OH Leuven could exploit.
Final Result
OH Leuven 0 : 2 Genk
Our prediction: 1 ✗
The tension builds as OH Leuven and Genk prepare to clash on May 23, 2026, in the Jupiler Pro League. Both teams are in the qualifying round, with OH Leuven sitting at 12th and Genk at 7th. The stakes are high, as OH Leuven fights to climb the ranks, while Genk aims to solidify their position. The atmosphere is charged, anticipation palpable, as fans eagerly await the kickoff.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.55
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.6
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
⭐ OH Leuven — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Prévot | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.23 | 9 | 0 |
| S. Schrijvers | Midfielder | 3 | 3 | 7.04 | 28 | 34 |
| Y. Maziz | Midfielder | 3 | 4 | 6.97 | 34 | 60 |
| T. Verlinden | Midfielder | 2 | 4 | 6.93 | 26 | 26 |
| T. Leysen | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.89 | 30 | 0 |
⭐ Genk — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| B. Heynen | Midfielder | 4 | 1 | 7.28 | 37 | 42 |
| H. Van Crombrugge | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.18 | 12 | 0 |
| M. Smets | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.16 | 38 | 15 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | Defender | 8 | 3 | 7.11 | 32 | 44 |
| D. Heymans | Midfielder | 10 | 4 | 7.04 | 29 | 32 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.05
Double Chance X21.21
Double Chance 121.25
Over 1.5 Goals1.16
Under 1.5 Goals4.9
Historical Data
In their past 10 meetings, Genk has dominated with 7 wins, while OH Leuven claimed victory twice. The average goals per match stand at 2.7, with 70% of these games seeing over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 60% of encounters. The last clash ended in a goalless draw, hinting at OH Leuven's potential to hold Genk.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model suggests a narrow edge for OH Leuven, priced at 4.20, with a 40% likelihood of winning. This contrasts with Genk's 38% chance at odds of 1.74. The model's confidence score of 83% stems from OH Leuven's stable recent form and Genk's away vulnerabilities. Over 2.5 goals are priced at 1.56, with a 60% probability. Based on these insights, OH Leuven's win offers the best value.
Statistical Deep Dive
OH Leuven enters the match with an average of 1.15 goals per game, conceding 1.55. Their home form shows 1.11 scored and 1.33 conceded on average. Genk scores 1.6 per match, with a slightly tighter defense, conceding 1.35. Expected goals suggest OH Leuven may edge this, with xG at 1.86 against Genk's 1.53. The model's confidence is 83%, driven by OH Leuven's recent stability and Genk's decline.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for OH Leuven vs Genk?
The
odds are OH Leuven: 4.20, Draw: 3.85, Genk: 1.74. OH Leuven's
win represents value with a 40% model probability versus an implied 23.8%.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in OH Leuven vs Genk?
Yes, likely over 2.5 goals. xG total is 3.39, with a 60% chance historically and
odds at 1.56. Both teams show a trend for high-scoring encounters.
3
What is the best
bet for OH Leuven vs Genk?
OH Leuven
win at
odds of 4.20 offers the best value. The model probability is 40%, while implied
odds suggest a lower probability, providing a value edge.
4
Which players are key to watch in OH Leuven vs Genk?
For OH Leuven, S. Schrijvers, with 3 goals, 3 assists, and a 7.04 rating, is crucial. His creativity with 34 key passes can unlock defenses. Genk's B. Heynen, with 4 goals, 1 assist, and a 7.28 rating, orchestrates midfield, crucial for transitions.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for OH Leuven vs Genk?
Draw No
Bet refunds the stake if the match draws. The
odds are OH Leuven: 3.10, Genk: 1.30. It offers safer returns than a straight
win, especially if backing OH Leuven for potential value.
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Jupiler Pro League23.05.2026
