Jupiler Pro League: Prediction Gent vs Union St. Gilloise – 21/5/2026

In a key Jupiler Pro League matchup at the Planet Group Arena in Gent, the home side faces Union St. Gilloise, a team vying for Champions League qualification. Gent, ranked 5th, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, where they have been averaging 1.33 goals per game. Union St. Gilloise, currently 2nd, boasts a superior goal difference but comes off a heavy 5-0 defeat. Both teams are looking to end their season on a high, with Gent seeking to improve their standing in the qualification playoffs.

18.05.2026 23:44
BelgiumJupiler Pro League|21.05.2026
Gent
37%
VS
Union St. Gilloise
29%
37%
34%
29%
GentDraw 34%Union St. Gilloise
🏆
Prediction
Gent @ 4.6
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.93
47% probability
🔁
Both Teams Score
YES @ 1.77
55% probability
Model Confidence
84%
★ BEST BET
Gent Win @ 4.6
Gent's recent home form is solid, with an average of 1.33 goals scored per game. Despite Union St. Gilloise's strong league position, their away performance has been less consistent, conceding 1.25 goals on average. Gent's home advantage and Union's recent defeat to Club Brugge suggest potential for an upset.
💡 Union St. Gilloise has failed to score in 30% of their last 20 matches, indicating potential vulnerabilities in offensive consistency, especially in away games.
Final Result
Gent 0 : 0 Union St. Gilloise
Our prediction: 1 โœ—

In a key Jupiler Pro League matchup at the Planet Group Arena in Gent, the home side faces Union St. Gilloise, a team vying for Champions League qualification. Gent, ranked 5th, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, where they have been averaging 1.33 goals per game. Union St. Gilloise, currently 2nd, boasts a superior goal difference but comes off a heavy 5-0 defeat. Both teams are looking to end their season on a high, with Gent seeking to improve their standing in the qualification playoffs.

📊 Team Statistics
Gent
DDLLD
6
Draws
7
Losses
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.540%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Union St. Gilloise
LWWLW
4
Draws
2
Losses
Avg Scored1.6
Avg Conceded0.8
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets9
๐ŸŸ๏ธ
Venue
Planet Group Arena, Gent
20,185 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Gent โ€” Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
T. De VliegerMidfielder007.232211
D. RoefGoalkeeper007.22383
M. Skรณraล›Midfielder277.033056
M. Delorge-KnieperMidfielder036.981713
D. YokotaAttacker016.9365
โญ Union St. Gilloise โ€” Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
C. VanhoutteMidfielder017.38512
C. BurgessDefender237.323313
A. KhalailiAttacker257.183659
K. Mac AllisterDefender117.133211
A. ZorganeMidfielder447.023536
๐Ÿ“Š Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X2.05
Double Chance X21.18
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.4

Form Comparison

Gent's recent form has been lackluster, with no wins in their last five matches, resulting in a declining trend with 0.6 points per game. However, their home form shows resilience, with 8 wins from 19 games this season. Union St. Gilloise, despite a strong record overall, has shown vulnerability away, winning only 7 out of 19 away matches. Their recent 5-0 defeat could impact their confidence. Gentโ€™s home performances, highlighted by a 4-0 win earlier in the season, give them a potential edge in this fixture.

Expert Prediction

The prediction leans towards a closely contested match with Gent potentially edging out Union St. Gilloise. Gent's home scoring average and Union's recent defensive lapse suggest a slight advantage for the hosts. The odds of 4.6 for a Gent win reflect this potential for an upset. Union's pressure to maintain their league position might impact their performance, especially after their recent defeat. Given the stakes and current form, a narrow win for Gent seems plausible.

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Match Stakes & Context

With Gent sitting in 5th place with 28 points, their immediate goal is to solidify their position in the qualification playoffs. Meanwhile, Union St. Gilloise, ranked 2nd with 49 points, has already secured a spot in the Champions League qualification but aims to maintain their standing against competitors. The points gap between the two teams reflects the competitive nature of the league, with Gent trailing by 21 points but still within reach of improving their rank. The match is crucial for Union as they look to bounce back from a recent loss and affirm their top-tier status.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
Will both teams score in Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, with odds of BTTS Yes at 1.77. Gent has a 50% BTTS rate in their last 20 matches, while Union St. Gilloise shares the same statistic. Union's clean sheet rate of 45% suggests they might be more likely to prevent Gent from scoring.
2
What does the head-to-head record say about Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
In their last 10 meetings, Union St. Gilloise has won 5 times, with 5 matches ending in a draw. The average goals per meeting is 2.7, with 50% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals. Union has shown dominance in recent encounters, winning most of the recent fixtures.
3
What is at stake in Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Gent is looking to strengthen their position in the qualification playoffs, currently ranked 5th with 28 points. Union St. Gilloise, ranked 2nd with 49 points, is aiming to maintain their spot for Champions League qualification. The gap highlights the competitive nature of the league, with Gent seeking to close the distance.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe bet in Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The probability of over 1.5 goals is 69%, with odds of 1.3. In their last 20 matches, Gent has seen over 1.5 goals in 12 games, while Union St. Gilloise has reached this mark in 15 games, suggesting a strong likelihood of multiple goals.
5
Are there injury concerns for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
There are no significant injuries reported for either team ahead of the match. Both squads appear fit, which should allow them to field their strongest line-ups without any major absences affecting the outcome.
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