BrentfordDraw 30%Crystal Palace
🏆
Prediction
Brentford @ 1.7
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.65
51% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.65
54% probability
Double Chance 1X @ 1.2
Brentford's home form is solid with a scoring average of 1.38 goals per
game, while Palace struggles defensively away, conceding 1.7 goals per
game. Brentford's consistency at home makes the Double Chance 1X a secure choice.
💡 Brentford's Thiago is a crucial figure, having scored 22 goals this season, second only to the league's top scorer. His presence is pivotal in breaking down Palace's defense.
Final Result
Brentford 2 : 2 Crystal Palace
Our prediction: 1 ✗
The Gtech Community Stadium in Brentford is buzzing as the home side prepares to host Crystal Palace. Brentford stands 8th in the league, aiming to solidify their top-half finish. Crystal Palace, sitting at 15th, seeks crucial points to ensure they steer clear of relegation worries. With both sides bringing contrasting forms into this clash, the stakes are high, and every touch of the ball matters.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.550%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets8
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.565%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets7
🏟️Venue
Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
17,250 capacity · Grass
⭐ Brentford — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| C. Kelleher | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.06 | 35 | 3 |
| M. Jensen | Midfielder | 3 | 1 | 6.97 | 34 | 31 |
| Thiago | Attacker | 22 | 1 | 6.97 | 36 | 23 |
| M. Kayode | Defender | 1 | 1 | 6.89 | 35 | 34 |
| S. van den Berg | Defender | 0 | 1 | 6.81 | 30 | 6 |
⭐ Crystal Palace — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Guéhi | Defender | 2 | 2 | 7.22 | 20 | 9 |
| W. Benítez | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Wharton | Midfielder | 0 | 5 | 7.07 | 32 | 40 |
| D. Henderson | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.94 | 35 | 1 |
| C. Richards | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.92 | 32 | 9 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.2
Double Chance X22.05
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Historical Data
In their last nine meetings, Brentford and Crystal Palace are evenly matched with two wins each and five draws. The average goals per game in these encounters is 2, with both teams scoring in 67% of the matches. Over 2.5 goals have occurred in 33% of these fixtures, suggesting a typically tight contest. This historical data indicates a closely fought game, with the possibility of both sides getting on the scoresheet.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model suggests a likely score of 1-0 in favor of Brentford, with a 52% probability of a home win. The model's confidence score of 88% combines data strength, consistency, and agreement. Brentford's home advantage and Palace's defensive vulnerabilities tilt the balance. Odds of 1.7 for a Brentford win reflect this expectation, with a draw priced at 3.95 and a Palace win at 4.35. The model leans heavily towards Brentford, but the Double Chance 1X at odds of 1.2 offers a safer bet.
Statistical Deep Dive
Brentford enters this fixture with an expected goals (xG) of 1.95, indicating a strong attacking threat, particularly at home where they average 1.38 goals per game. Defensively, they have managed eight clean sheets in their last 20 outings, highlighting their resilience. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, has an xG of 0.97, struggling to convert chances, especially on the road where they concede an average of 1.7 goals. The BTTS rate stands at 54%, underscoring the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Brentford's form shows a decline, while Palace remains stable, adding layers to this tactical battle.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The
odds are 1.7 for Brentford, 3.95 for a draw, and 4.35 for Crystal Palace. This translates to an implied probability of 58.82% for Brentford, 25.32% for a draw, and 22.99% for Palace. Brentford's probability offers the most value against the model's 52% expectation.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The total expected goals (xG) is 2.92, with a 51% chance for over 2.5 goals. The
odds for over 2.5 goals stand at 1.65. Given the attacking potential and defensive frailties, there is a reasonable expectation for a
game exceeding two goals.
3
What is the best
bet for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The best value
bet is Double Chance 1X at
odds of 1.2. This offers a safety net given Brentford's strong home form and Palace's defensive struggles, aligning well with the model's probabilities.
4
Which players are key to watch in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford's Thiago, with 22 goals this season, is a key player, impacting
games with his scoring prowess. For Crystal Palace, M. Guéhi stands out defensively, contributing with 2 goals and 2 assists, anchoring the backline.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Draw No
Bet means if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned. The
odds are not explicitly listed, but typically offer a safer alternative to a straight
win, particularly favoring Brentford given their home advantage.
*,.fap-wrap *,.fap-markets *,.fap-table *,.fap-faq * {box-sizing:border-box}
/* ── Wrapper ── */
.fap-wrap {
width:100%;max-width:100%;
margin:0 0 28px;border-radius:16px;overflow:hidden;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,.08);
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
background:#fff;
}
/* ── Meta bar ── */
.fap-meta-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;flex-wrap:wrap;
padding:10px 20px;background:#f8fafc;
border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:12px;color:#64748b;
}
.fap-flag{height:16px;border-radius:2px}
.fap-league-logo{height:22px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-league-name{font-weight:700;color:#334155}
.fap-meta-sep{color:#cbd5e1}
.fap-match-date{color:#94a3b8}
/* ── Header ── */
.fap-header {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr;
align-items:center;gap:16px;
padding:28px 24px 20px;
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#f0f9ff 0%,#fff 50%,#fff5f5 100%);
}
.fap-team{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:10px}
.fap-team-home{align-items:flex-start}
.fap-team-away{align-items:flex-end}
.fap-logo-wrap {
width:80px;height:80px;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:2px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 2px 12px rgba(0,0,0,.1);
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
overflow:hidden;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-team-logo{width:64px;height:64px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-logo-placeholder{font-size:28px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-team-name{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;text-align:center;line-height:1.2}
.fap-team-home .fap-team-name{text-align:left}
.fap-team-away .fap-team-name{text-align:right}
.fap-team-prob{font-size:13px;font-weight:700;padding:4px 12px;border-radius:20px}
.fap-prob-home{background:#dbeafe;color:#1d4ed8}
.fap-prob-away{background:#fee2e2;color:#b91c1c}
.fap-vs-block{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;justify-content:center}
.fap-vs{font-size:20px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8;letter-spacing:2px}
/* ── Prob bar ── */
.fap-prob-bar-wrap{padding:0 0 4px}
.fap-prob-bar{display:flex;height:40px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away {
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;min-width:36px;
}
.fap-pb-home{background:#2563eb}
.fap-pb-draw{background:#64748b}
.fap-pb-away{background:#dc2626}
.fap-pb-labels {
display:flex;justify-content:space-between;
padding:6px 16px;font-size:11px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
/* ── Markets grid ── */
.fap-markets {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);
gap:1px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-market {
background:#fff;padding:16px 14px;
display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;
text-align:center;gap:4px;border-top:3px solid transparent;
}
.fap-market-pred{border-top-color:#2563eb}
.fap-market-yes{border-top-color:#16a34a;background:#f0fdf4}
.fap-market-no{border-top-color:#dc2626;background:#fef2f2}
.fap-mkt-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;margin-bottom:2px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.8px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;line-height:1.2}
.fap-mkt-pct{font-size:11px;color:#64748b;margin-top:2px}
.fap-
odd{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#16a34a;display:block;margin-top:2px}
/* ── Best
bet ── */
.fap-bestbet {
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#1e293b 0%,#0f172a 100%);
padding:20px 24px;color:#fff;
}
.fap-bb-star{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:#fbbf24;text-transform:uppercase;margin-bottom:6px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:22px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;margin-bottom:6px;line-height:1.2}
.fap-bb-reason{font-size:13px;color:#94a3b8;line-height:1.6}
.fap-insight{padding:14px 20px;background:#fffbeb;border-left:4px solid #f59e0b;font-size:14px;color:#92400e;line-height:1.6}
/* ── Stats section ── */
.fap-stats-section {
margin:0 0 28px;
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
}
.fap-stats-title {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;
font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;
padding:14px 20px 12px;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
background:#fff;
border-radius:14px 14px 0 0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
margin-bottom:-1px;
}
.fap-stats-title-icon{font-size:18px}
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:0}
/* ── Individual stat card ── */
.fap-sc {
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-top:none;
background:#fff;
overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-sc:last-child{border-radius:0 0 14px 14px}
.fap-sc-home{border-left:4px solid #2563eb}
.fap-sc-away{border-left:4px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Card header ── */
.fap-sc-head {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:14px 16px 10px;
background:#fafbfd;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-logo {
width:40px;height:40px;
object-fit:contain;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
padding:3px;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-sc-name{font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:5px}
.fap-sc-form{display:flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:wrap}
/* ── W/D/L row ── */
.fap-sc-wdl {
display:flex;align-items:stretch;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-item {
flex:1;display:flex;flex-direction:column;
align-items:center;justify-content:center;
padding:12px 8px;gap:3px;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-sep{width:1px;background:#f1f5f9;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-sc-big{font-size:24px;font-weight:900;line-height:1}
.fap-sc-tiny{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.6px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-c-green{color:#16a34a}
.fap-c-amber{color:#d97706}
.fap-c-red{color:#dc2626}
/* ── Stats rows ── */
.fap-sc-rows{display:flex;flex-direction:column}
.fap-sc-row {
display:flex;align-items:center;
justify-content:space-between;
padding:9px 16px;
border-bottom:1px solid #f8fafc;
}
.fap-sc-row:last-child{border-bottom:none}
.fap-sc-row:nth-child(even){background:#fafbfd}
.fap-sc-row-lbl{font-size:12px;font-weight:600;color:#64748b;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.4px}
.fap-sc-row-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b}
/* ── Form badges ── */
/* ── Form badges ── */
.fap-form-row{display:inline-flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:nowrap}
.fap-fb {
display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
width:24px;height:24px;border-radius:50%;
font-size:10px;font-weight:800;color:#fff;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-fb-w{background:#16a34a}
.fap-fb-d{background:#d97706}
.fap-fb-l{background:#dc2626}
/* ── Mobile stat cards (hidden by default) ── */
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:14px}
.fap-stat-card{border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;background:#fff}
.fap-stat-card-home{border-top:3px solid #2563eb}
.fap-stat-card-away{border-top:3px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Confidence bar ── */
.fap-conf-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:12px 20px;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-conf-label {
font-size:11px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;
letter-spacing:.7px;color:#64748b;white-space:nowrap;min-width:130px;
}
.fap-conf-track {
flex:1;height:8px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-radius:4px;overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-conf-fill {
height:100%;border-radius:4px;
transition:width .4s ease;
}
.fap-conf-pct {
font-size:16px;font-weight:900;
min-width:48px;text-align:right;
}
/* ── FAQ ── */
.fap-faq{margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-faq-item {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:auto 1fr;gap:0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;
overflow:hidden;margin-bottom:10px;
transition:box-shadow .15s;
}
.fap-faq-item:hover{box-shadow:0 4px 16px rgba(0,0,0,.08)}
.fap-faq-num {
display:flex;align-items:flex-start;justify-content:center;
padding:18px 16px;
background:#f0f9ff;
border-right:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:18px;font-weight:900;color:#2563eb;
min-width:52px;
line-height:1.4;
}
.fap-faq-content{padding:16px 20px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:15px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:8px;line-height:1.4}
.fap-faq-a{font-size:14px;color:#475569;line-height:1.7}
/* ── v15: Info row (venue + coaches) ── */
.fap-info-row{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-info-card{display:flex;align-items:flex-start;gap:12px;background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:14px 16px;flex:1;min-width:180px}
.fap-info-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-info-body{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}
.fap-info-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-info-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b}
.fap-info-sub{font-size:12px;color:#64748b}
/* ── v15: Key Players ── */
.fap-players-wrap{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:20px;margin:0 0 28px}
.fap-players-team{background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-players-title{background:#1e293b;color:#fff;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.05em;padding:10px 14px}
.fap-players-table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px}
.fap-players-table th{background:#f1f5f9;color:#64748b;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;padding:7px 10px;text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0}
.fap-players-table td{padding:8px 10px;border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;color:#334155}
.fap-players-table tr:last-child td{border-bottom:none}
.fap-players-table tr:hover td{background:#f8fafc}
.fap-rating{font-weight:700;color:#16a34a}
/* ── v15: Extended
odds ── */
.fap-ext-
odds{background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:16px 18px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-ext-
odds-title{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#64748b;margin-bottom:12px}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:10px}
.fap-ext-
odd-item{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:8px;padding:10px 14px;min-width:110px;text-align:center}
.fap-ext-label{font-size:10px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;margin-bottom:4px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.04em}
.fap-ext-val{font-size:18px;font-weight:800;color:#0f172a}
@media(max-width:640px){
.fap-players-wrap{grid-template-columns:1fr}
.fap-info-row{flex-direction:column}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{gap:8px}
.fap-ext-
odd-item{min-width:90px;padding:8px 10px}
}
/* ── Mobile breakpoint ── */
@media (max-width:640px) {
.fap-header{grid-template-columns:1fr;padding:20px 16px 16px;gap:12px}
.fap-team-home,.fap-team-away{align-items:center}
.fap-team-home .fap-team-name,.fap-team-away .fap-team-name{text-align:center}
.fap-vs-block{order:-1;flex-direction:row;gap:12px}
.fap-logo-wrap{width:64px;height:64px}
.fap-team-logo{width:50px;height:50px}
.fap-team-name{font-size:15px}
.fap-markets{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr)}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away{font-size:11px;min-width:28px}
.fap-pb-labels{font-size:10px;padding:5px 12px}
.fap-meta-bar{padding:8px 14px;font-size:11px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:18px}
.fap-faq-num{min-width:40px;padding:14px 12px;font-size:15px}
.fap-faq-content{padding:14px 14px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:14px}
.fap-wrap,.fap-stats-wrap{border-radius:12px}
}
@media (max-width:380px) {
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:14px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:9px}
.fap-market{padding:12px 8px}
.fap-sc-val{font-size:16px}
}
Premier League17.05.2026
