Primera División|10/08/2026
CS HeredianoDraw 25%LD Alajuelense
🏆
Prediction
CS Herediano @ 2
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.19
35% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.85
44% probability
51%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 124/243
With a model probability of 64%, CS Herediano is strongly favoured to
win, offering a value edge over the implied
odds probability of 50%. Their home record is formidable, with only one loss in the last 10 matches, and they have a defensive solidity that has seen them concede just 0.4 goals per
game at home. LD Alajuelense's away form is shaky, with five losses in their last nine outings. The
odds provide a compelling case for a home victory.
💡 CS Herediano have kept 12 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, highlighting a defensive resilience that could be pivotal against an LD Alajuelense side that struggles away from home.
Final Result
CS Herediano 0 : 3 LD Alajuelense
Our prediction: 1 ✗
In the vibrant city of Heredia, CS Herediano hosts LD Alajuelense in a clash that promises to be anything but routine. With Herediano nestled in sixth place, they are eager to climb the ranks and secure a more comfortable spot in the top half, while Alajuelense sits second, eyeing the summit. Herediano's home form has been a fortress, conceding only an average of 0.4 goals per game. This defensive strength will be crucial as they aim to maintain their unbeaten start to the season. Meanwhile, Alajuelense, despite their higher ranking, face the challenge of overcoming a record of two away wins in their last nine attempts. The stakes are high, and both sides know that a victory here could set the tone for the rest of their campaign.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded0.55
Over 2.530%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets12
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.545%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets5
🏟️Venue
Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
8,700 capacity · Grass
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.25
Double Chance X21.67
Double Chance 121.36
Over 1.5 Goals1.36
Under 1.5 Goals2.7
How They Come Into This
How They Come Into This
Prediction
Prediction
How It Will Be Played
CS Herediano is likely to approach this match with a tactical setup that focuses on their defensive solidity and efficient use of possession. Their ability to maintain clean sheets is testament to their well-organised backline. With an average of 1.1 goals scored at home, they will look to capitalise on set-pieces and quick transitions. LD Alajuelense, on the other hand, will aim to exploit their attacking prowess, having scored an average of 1.4 goals per game. However, their away form suggests vulnerability, particularly in defence where they concede 1.44 goals on average. The key tactical question will be whether Herediano can break down Alajuelense's defence while maintaining their own defensive discipline. Winning the midfield battle could be crucial in dictating the game's tempo.
The Decisive Statistical Battlegrounds
The Decisive Statistical Battlegrounds
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What is the correct
score prediction for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
The model's most likely
score is 1-0 in favour of CS Herediano. This prediction aligns with their xG of 1.71 compared to Alajuelense's 0.38, suggesting a narrow victory for the home side.
2
Will both teams
score in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
The BTTS probability stands at 44%, with CS Herediano's matches seeing BTTS in only 35% of cases. LD Alajuelense's away matches have a higher BTTS rate of 65%. The
odds for BTTS Yes are 1.85, while BTTS No is 1.8.
3
What is the best
bet for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
The best value
bet is CS Herediano to
win at
odds of 2.00. The model probability of 64% gives a significant edge over the implied
odds probability of 50%, making it a strong value proposition.
4
What is LD Alajuelense's away form this season?
In their last five away matches, LD Alajuelense have recorded one
win, one draw, and three losses. They have scored 1.11 goals per
game on average while conceding 1.44, highlighting their struggles on the road.
5
Which players are key to watch in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
CS Herediano's attack has been efficient, averaging 1.1 goals per
game. Their xG of 1.71 suggests they create quality chances. Alajuelense, with an xG of 0.38, may find it challenging to break down Herediano's solid defence.
6
What is the Draw No
Bet option for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?
Draw No
Bet is a market where the stake is returned if the match ends in a draw. The
odds for CS Herediano are 1.50, while for LD Alajuelense, they are 2.50. Given Herediano's strong home form, it offers a safer alternative to a straight
win bet.