ArsenalDraw 19%Atletico Madrid
🏆
Prediction
Arsenal @ 1.59
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.9
51% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.91
53% probability
Arsenal's strong home form, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, combined with Atletico's struggles on the road, where they concede an average of 2 goals per
game, supports a home
win prediction. The model assigns a 70% probability to an Arsenal victory.
💡 Arsenal's ability to maintain a clean sheet in 45% of their matches this season could neutralize Atletico's attack, which has been inconsistent away from home.
Final Result
Arsenal 1 : 0 Atletico Madrid
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Arsenal faces Atletico Madrid in a UEFA Champions League clash on 05.05.2026, with the match poised at Arsenal's home venue. Arsenal leads the league standings with 24 points, boasting a formidable goal difference of +19. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid sits in 14th place with 13 points, highlighting a significant gap in form and performance. This encounter offers Arsenal an opportunity to extend their winning streak, while Atletico aims to improve their away record.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.65
Avg Conceded0.8
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets9
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.8
Over 2.575%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets4
⭐ Arsenal — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| David Raya | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.38 | 12 | 0 |
| D. Rice | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 7.37 | 11 | 23 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.31 | 10 | 1 |
| N. Madueke | Attacker | 3 | 0 | 7.15 | 8 | 6 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | Attacker | 6 | 2 | 7.15 | 12 | 16 |
⭐ Atletico Madrid — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| J. Musso | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.13 | 4 | 0 |
| G. Raspadori | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 7.55 | 2 | 1 |
| J. Oblak | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.07 | 11 | 2 |
| Marcos Llorente | Defender | 4 | 1 | 7.07 | 13 | 10 |
| A. Sørloth | Attacker | 6 | 1 | 7.03 | 13 | 7 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.12
Double Chance X22.35
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.45
Form Comparison
Arsenal's recent form has been impressive, with a record of WWWWW in their last five matches, including a decisive 3-0 victory against Fulham. Their season record at home is particularly strong, with 5 wins and 1 draw. Atletico Madrid, however, has shown inconsistency with a form of WDWLL, including a recent 2-1 loss to Sevilla. Away from home, they've struggled, winning only 2 of their last 7 matches. Arsenal's consistent home performance contrasts sharply with Atletico's away difficulties, setting the stage for a potentially one-sided contest.
Expert Prediction
Arsenal is favored to win with odds of 1.59, reflecting their superior form and home advantage. The pressure is on Atletico Madrid, who need to overcome a challenging away record to secure a result. Arsenal's defensive solidity, with 9 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, suggests they are well-equipped to handle Atletico's attack. While Atletico has shown the ability to score, their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly away, could be decisive. The model's prediction of a 2-0 win for Arsenal aligns with these observations.
Match Stakes & Context
Arsenal sits at the summit of the UEFA Champions League standings with 24 points from 8 matches, showcasing a dominant +19 goal difference. Their consistent form has already secured them a spot in the playoffs. In contrast, Atletico Madrid is positioned at 14th with 13 points, a stark contrast to Arsenal's dominance. Their goal difference of +2 indicates a struggle to both score and defend effectively. The stakes are high for Atletico, who need a win to boost their standing and ensure progression in the competition. Arsenal, on the other hand, aims to maintain their top position and secure a favorable playoff matchup.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both teams
score in Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?
The BTTS probability is 53%. Arsenal has kept 9 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, indicating they are more likely to prevent Atletico from scoring. The
odds for BTTS Yes are 1.91, while No is 1.83.
2
What does the head-to-head record say about Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?
In the last 5 meetings, Arsenal has 1
win, 2 draws, and Atletico Madrid has 2
wins. The average goals per meeting is 2.2, with only 20% of these matches going over 2.5 goals. Recent encounters have been closely contested.
3
What is at stake in Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?
Arsenal leads the league with 24 points and aims to maintain their top position. Atletico Madrid, with 13 points, is in 14th place and needs a
win to improve their playoff chances. The points gap highlights the contrasting ambitions for both teams.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?
The probability for Over 1.5 goals is 79%, with
odds of 1.3. Both teams have seen 2+ goals in a majority of their recent matches, making this a statistically supported wager.
5
Are there injury concerns for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?
Both teams appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This allows both managers to field their strongest lineups, potentially impacting the overall match quality and outcome.
*,.fap-wrap *,.fap-markets *,.fap-table *,.fap-faq * {box-sizing:border-box}
/* ── Wrapper ── */
.fap-wrap {
width:100%;max-width:100%;
margin:0 0 28px;border-radius:16px;overflow:hidden;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,.08);
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
background:#fff;
}
/* ── Meta bar ── */
.fap-meta-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;flex-wrap:wrap;
padding:10px 20px;background:#f8fafc;
border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:12px;color:#64748b;
}
.fap-flag{height:16px;border-radius:2px}
.fap-league-logo{height:22px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-league-name{font-weight:700;color:#334155}
.fap-meta-sep{color:#cbd5e1}
.fap-match-date{color:#94a3b8}
/* ── Header ── */
.fap-header {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr;
align-items:center;gap:16px;
padding:28px 24px 20px;
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#f0f9ff 0%,#fff 50%,#fff5f5 100%);
}
.fap-team{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:10px}
.fap-team-home{align-items:flex-start}
.fap-team-away{align-items:flex-end}
.fap-logo-wrap {
width:80px;height:80px;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:2px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 2px 12px rgba(0,0,0,.1);
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
overflow:hidden;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-team-logo{width:64px;height:64px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-logo-placeholder{font-size:28px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-team-name{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;text-align:center;line-height:1.2}
.fap-team-home .fap-team-name{text-align:left}
.fap-team-away .fap-team-name{text-align:right}
.fap-team-prob{font-size:13px;font-weight:700;padding:4px 12px;border-radius:20px}
.fap-prob-home{background:#dbeafe;color:#1d4ed8}
.fap-prob-away{background:#fee2e2;color:#b91c1c}
.fap-vs-block{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;justify-content:center}
.fap-vs{font-size:20px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8;letter-spacing:2px}
/* ── Prob bar ── */
.fap-prob-bar-wrap{padding:0 0 4px}
.fap-prob-bar{display:flex;height:40px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away {
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;min-width:36px;
}
.fap-pb-home{background:#2563eb}
.fap-pb-draw{background:#64748b}
.fap-pb-away{background:#dc2626}
.fap-pb-labels {
display:flex;justify-content:space-between;
padding:6px 16px;font-size:11px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
/* ── Markets grid ── */
.fap-markets {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);
gap:1px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-market {
background:#fff;padding:16px 14px;
display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;
text-align:center;gap:4px;border-top:3px solid transparent;
}
.fap-market-pred{border-top-color:#2563eb}
.fap-market-yes{border-top-color:#16a34a;background:#f0fdf4}
.fap-market-no{border-top-color:#dc2626;background:#fef2f2}
.fap-mkt-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;margin-bottom:2px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.8px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;line-height:1.2}
.fap-mkt-pct{font-size:11px;color:#64748b;margin-top:2px}
.fap-
odd{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#16a34a;display:block;margin-top:2px}
/* ── Best
bet ── */
.fap-bestbet {
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#1e293b 0%,#0f172a 100%);
padding:20px 24px;color:#fff;
}
.fap-bb-star{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:#fbbf24;text-transform:uppercase;margin-bottom:6px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:22px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;margin-bottom:6px;line-height:1.2}
.fap-bb-reason{font-size:13px;color:#94a3b8;line-height:1.6}
.fap-insight{padding:14px 20px;background:#fffbeb;border-left:4px solid #f59e0b;font-size:14px;color:#92400e;line-height:1.6}
/* ── Stats section ── */
.fap-stats-section {
margin:0 0 28px;
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
}
.fap-stats-title {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;
font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;
padding:14px 20px 12px;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
background:#fff;
border-radius:14px 14px 0 0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
margin-bottom:-1px;
}
.fap-stats-title-icon{font-size:18px}
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:0}
/* ── Individual stat card ── */
.fap-sc {
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-top:none;
background:#fff;
overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-sc:last-child{border-radius:0 0 14px 14px}
.fap-sc-home{border-left:4px solid #2563eb}
.fap-sc-away{border-left:4px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Card header ── */
.fap-sc-head {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:14px 16px 10px;
background:#fafbfd;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-logo {
width:40px;height:40px;
object-fit:contain;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
padding:3px;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-sc-name{font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:5px}
.fap-sc-form{display:flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:wrap}
/* ── W/D/L row ── */
.fap-sc-wdl {
display:flex;align-items:stretch;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-item {
flex:1;display:flex;flex-direction:column;
align-items:center;justify-content:center;
padding:12px 8px;gap:3px;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-sep{width:1px;background:#f1f5f9;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-sc-big{font-size:24px;font-weight:900;line-height:1}
.fap-sc-tiny{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.6px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-c-green{color:#16a34a}
.fap-c-amber{color:#d97706}
.fap-c-red{color:#dc2626}
/* ── Stats rows ── */
.fap-sc-rows{display:flex;flex-direction:column}
.fap-sc-row {
display:flex;align-items:center;
justify-content:space-between;
padding:9px 16px;
border-bottom:1px solid #f8fafc;
}
.fap-sc-row:last-child{border-bottom:none}
.fap-sc-row:nth-child(even){background:#fafbfd}
.fap-sc-row-lbl{font-size:12px;font-weight:600;color:#64748b;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.4px}
.fap-sc-row-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b}
/* ── Form badges ── */
/* ── Form badges ── */
.fap-form-row{display:inline-flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:nowrap}
.fap-fb {
display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
width:24px;height:24px;border-radius:50%;
font-size:10px;font-weight:800;color:#fff;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-fb-w{background:#16a34a}
.fap-fb-d{background:#d97706}
.fap-fb-l{background:#dc2626}
/* ── Mobile stat cards (hidden by default) ── */
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:14px}
.fap-stat-card{border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;background:#fff}
.fap-stat-card-home{border-top:3px solid #2563eb}
.fap-stat-card-away{border-top:3px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Confidence bar ── */
.fap-conf-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:12px 20px;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-conf-label {
font-size:11px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;
letter-spacing:.7px;color:#64748b;white-space:nowrap;min-width:130px;
}
.fap-conf-track {
flex:1;height:8px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-radius:4px;overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-conf-fill {
height:100%;border-radius:4px;
transition:width .4s ease;
}
.fap-conf-pct {
font-size:16px;font-weight:900;
min-width:48px;text-align:right;
}
/* ── FAQ ── */
.fap-faq{margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-faq-item {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:auto 1fr;gap:0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;
overflow:hidden;margin-bottom:10px;
transition:box-shadow .15s;
}
.fap-faq-item:hover{box-shadow:0 4px 16px rgba(0,0,0,.08)}
.fap-faq-num {
display:flex;align-items:flex-start;justify-content:center;
padding:18px 16px;
background:#f0f9ff;
border-right:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:18px;font-weight:900;color:#2563eb;
min-width:52px;
line-height:1.4;
}
.fap-faq-content{padding:16px 20px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:15px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:8px;line-height:1.4}
.fap-faq-a{font-size:14px;color:#475569;line-height:1.7}
/* ── v15: Info row (venue + coaches) ── */
.fap-info-row{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-info-card{display:flex;align-items:flex-start;gap:12px;background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:14px 16px;flex:1;min-width:180px}
.fap-info-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-info-body{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}
.fap-info-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-info-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b}
.fap-info-sub{font-size:12px;color:#64748b}
/* ── v15: Key Players ── */
.fap-players-wrap{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:20px;margin:0 0 28px}
.fap-players-team{background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-players-title{background:#1e293b;color:#fff;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.05em;padding:10px 14px}
.fap-players-table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px}
.fap-players-table th{background:#f1f5f9;color:#64748b;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;padding:7px 10px;text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0}
.fap-players-table td{padding:8px 10px;border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;color:#334155}
.fap-players-table tr:last-child td{border-bottom:none}
.fap-players-table tr:hover td{background:#f8fafc}
.fap-rating{font-weight:700;color:#16a34a}
/* ── v15: Extended
odds ── */
.fap-ext-
odds{background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:16px 18px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-ext-
odds-title{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#64748b;margin-bottom:12px}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:10px}
.fap-ext-
odd-item{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:8px;padding:10px 14px;min-width:110px;text-align:center}
.fap-ext-label{font-size:10px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;margin-bottom:4px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.04em}
.fap-ext-val{font-size:18px;font-weight:800;color:#0f172a}
@media(max-width:640px){
.fap-players-wrap{grid-template-columns:1fr}
.fap-info-row{flex-direction:column}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{gap:8px}
.fap-ext-
odd-item{min-width:90px;padding:8px 10px}
}
/* ── Mobile breakpoint ── */
@media (max-width:640px) {
.fap-header{grid-template-columns:1fr;padding:20px 16px 16px;gap:12px}
.fap-team-home,.fap-team-away{align-items:center}
.fap-team-home .fap-team-name,.fap-team-away .fap-team-name{text-align:center}
.fap-vs-block{order:-1;flex-direction:row;gap:12px}
.fap-logo-wrap{width:64px;height:64px}
.fap-team-logo{width:50px;height:50px}
.fap-team-name{font-size:15px}
.fap-markets{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr)}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away{font-size:11px;min-width:28px}
.fap-pb-labels{font-size:10px;padding:5px 12px}
.fap-meta-bar{padding:8px 14px;font-size:11px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:18px}
.fap-faq-num{min-width:40px;padding:14px 12px;font-size:15px}
.fap-faq-content{padding:14px 14px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:14px}
.fap-wrap,.fap-stats-wrap{border-radius:12px}
}
@media (max-width:380px) {
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:14px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:9px}
.fap-market{padding:12px 8px}
.fap-sc-val{font-size:16px}
}
UEFA Champions League05.05.2026
