CF Os BelenensesDraw 22%Farense
🏆
Prediction
CF Os Belenenses @ 2.9
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.15
38% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.83
36% probability
CF Os Belenenses
Win @ 2.9
CF Os Belenenses have shown a stronger home form with 1.67 goals scored per
game, coupled with Farense's struggle to
score more than 0.85 goals per
game on average. The model suggests a 69% probability for a home
win, indicating a value in the
odds offered.
💡 Despite their lower ranking, Farense have managed an improving trend in recent matches, with a notable away victory at União de Leiria, suggesting resilience in crucial fixtures.
Final Result
CF Os Belenenses 0 : 0 Farense
Our prediction: 1 ✗
CF Os Belenenses face Farense in a pivotal Segunda Liga clash on 30.05.2026. The most telling statistic is the expected goals (xG) model, which predicts 2.04 goals for Belenenses against just 0.66 for Farense. This fixture comes at a critical time as Farense fights to escape the relegation playoff zone, while Belenenses aim to capitalize on their strong home performance.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.8
Avg Conceded1.05
Over 2.565%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored0.85
Avg Conceded1.1
Over 2.535%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets7
⭐ Farense — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Ricardo Velho | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.30 | 3 | 0 |
| Cláudio Falcão | Defender | 2 | 0 | 7.30 | 29 | 7 |
| Yannick Semedo | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.13 | 30 | 9 |
| Bruno Almeida | Attacker | 0 | 1 | 7.04 | 21 | 5 |
| Lucas D'Agrella | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.98 | 18 | 1 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.55
Double Chance X21.35
Double Chance 121.36
Over 1.5 Goals1.36
Under 1.5 Goals3
Form Comparison
CF Os Belenenses have demonstrated a solid form with 11 wins in their last 20 matches. Their recent form shows a slight decline, with a record of LWWDD in the last five games, but they remain formidable at home. Farense, meanwhile, has shown improvement, with a WLDWD record in their last five matches. While Belenenses have a consistent goal-scoring rate, averaging 1.8 goals per game, Farense struggles with only 0.85 goals per game. At home, Belenenses have been particularly resilient, whereas Farense's away form has been inconsistent, reflecting in their mixed results.
Expert Prediction
Given the stakes and current form, CF Os Belenenses are favored to win, with odds of 2.9. Their superior home performance and Farense's challenges in scoring on the road suggest a likely home win. The pressure is on Farense to secure points to avoid relegation, which could lead to an open game. However, Belenenses' strong defensive record, with an average of just one goal conceded at home, supports the prediction of a home victory.
Match Stakes & Context
In the Segunda Liga, CF Os Belenenses and Farense find themselves in contrasting positions. Belenenses have no specific standings data available, while Farense sits 16th with 40 points, battling to avoid relegation playoffs. This match is crucial for Farense, as they aim to extend their points and potentially secure safety. With a goal difference of -6, every point counts for Farense in their bid to climb the standings. The stakes are high, with Belenenses looking to reaffirm their superiority at home, where they average 1.67 goals per game. Farense, on the other hand, needs to overcome their tendency to concede, having allowed 1.33 goals on average in away games.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both teams
score in CF Os Belenenses vs Farense?
The likelihood of both teams scoring is 36%, with CF Os Belenenses having a clean sheet in 6 of their last 20 matches. The BTTS No
odds are 1.85, suggesting Farense is more likely to fail to
score given their 9 matches without a goal.
2
What does the head-to-head record say about CF Os Belenenses vs Farense?
In the last two meetings, each team has one
win. The average goals per meeting is 1.5, with 0% of matches going Over 2.5. This indicates closely contested
games with low scoring.
3
What is at stake in CF Os Belenenses vs Farense?
Farense is fighting to avoid relegation, currently in 16th place with 40 points. They need points to escape the playoff zone, while Belenenses aim to leverage their home advantage for a strong finish to the season.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in CF Os Belenenses vs Farense?
The probability for Over 1.5 goals is 75%, with
odds priced at 1.36. CF Os Belenenses' matches have seen 2+ goals 65% of the time, making it a reasonably safe
bet.
5
Are there injury concerns for CF Os Belenenses vs Farense?
No significant injuries or suspensions have been reported for either team, suggesting both squads are fit. This could mean that the match is played with both teams at full strength.
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Segunda Liga30.05.2026
