⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
45% probability
Partick's recent form, with only one loss in their last 20 matches, suggests they have the upper hand. ST Mirren's defensive struggles, conceding an average of 1.65 goals per match, further support the prediction. The statistical model gives Partick a 49% chance of
winning, indicating a favorable outcome for them.
💡 Despite ST Mirren's home advantage, their poor scoring rate of 0.67 goals per home
game significantly diminishes their threat, especially against a Partick side that has been solid defensively, conceding only 0.95 goals per
game.
Final Result
ST Mirren 1 : 0 Partick
Our prediction: 2 ✗
ST Mirren and Partick face off in a crucial Premiership clash at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. With ST Mirren sitting at 10th place and battling relegation, every point is critical. Partick, showing resilience with only one loss in their last 20 games, will aim to capitalize on ST Mirren's defensive vulnerabilities. The match is expected to be competitive, with Partick slightly favored due to their superior form and defensive solidity.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded0.95
Over 2.550%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets6
🏟️Venue
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
8,016 capacity · Grass
⭐ ST Mirren — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| S. George | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.05 | 33 | 3 |
| D. John | Defender | 1 | 5 | 6.93 | 30 | 46 |
| R. King | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.85 | 32 | 8 |
| K. Phillips | Midfielder | 4 | 0 | 6.82 | 37 | 31 |
| M. Fraser | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.79 | 31 | 10 |
Form Comparison
ST Mirren's recent form is unstable, with just two victories in their last 10 matches. Their home form is particularly concerning, scoring only 0.67 goals per match while conceding 1.44. In contrast, Partick has been remarkably consistent, suffering only one defeat in their last 20 outings. They have a solid away record, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match. While ST Mirren have shown flashes of resilience, their inability to maintain form puts them at a disadvantage against a Partick side riding high on confidence.
Expert Prediction
Given the current dynamics, Partick holds a statistical edge over ST Mirren. The model assigns a 49% probability for a Partick win, reflecting their superior form and defensive capabilities. ST Mirren's pressure to escape relegation could lead to a tense performance, whereas Partick, with less at stake, may play with more freedom. The odds of Partick winning are set at 2.04, making them a strong candidate for victory in this encounter.
Match Stakes & Context
ST Mirren, currently ranked 10th in the league with 30 points, are embroiled in a relegation battle. They are part of the relegation round, where every match is vital to secure their top-flight status. With a goal difference of -21, their defensive lapses have been a significant issue. Partick's league position is not provided, but their current form suggests they sit comfortably above the relegation zone. ST Mirren's struggle to gain momentum, combined with Partick's consistent performance, sets up a match where the stakes are much higher for the home side.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both teams
score in ST Mirren vs Partick?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52%. ST Mirren has failed to
score in 8 of their last 20 matches, while Partick has a BTTS rate of 70%.
Odds for BTTS Yes are 1.92, with ST Mirren more likely to fail to
score given their 40% clean sheet rate.
2
What does the head-to-head record say about ST Mirren vs Partick?
In the last 10 meetings, ST Mirren has won 5, Partick 3, and 2 matches have ended in draws. The average goals per meeting is 2.7, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals. ST Mirren has had the upper hand in recent encounters,
winning the last meeting.
3
What is at stake in ST Mirren vs Partick?
ST Mirren is fighting to avoid relegation, currently 10th with 30 points. They need to improve their goal difference of -21 to enhance survival chances. Partick's league position isn't detailed, but their form suggests they're not in immediate danger.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in ST Mirren vs Partick?
The model predicts a 67% probability for over 1.5 goals. In their last 20 matches, ST Mirren's
games have had over 1.5 goals 12 times, while Partick's have hit this mark 17 times.
Odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.48.
5
Are there injury concerns for ST Mirren vs Partick?
There are no significant injuries reported for either team. Both squads appear fit, which suggests that team selection and tactics will be at full strength, potentially impacting the match's dynamics positively.
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Premiership25.05.2026
