Jupiler Pro League02.05.2026
The upcoming Jupiler Pro League match between St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise is set for 02.05.2026. St. Truiden, currently ranked third, aims to secure UEFA Europa League qualification, while league leaders Union St. Gilloise are on course for a Champions League placement. Both teams have contrasting recent forms, with St. Truiden experiencing a decline and Union St. Gilloise showing consistent improvement. This fixture is pivotal for both teams' ambitions, with Union St. Gilloise having a historical advantage in head-to-head encounters.
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bertaccini | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 8.90 | 1 | 2 |
| R. Ito | Midfielder | 9 | 5 | 7.30 | 32 | 96 |
| L. Kokubo | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.25 | 35 | 0 |
| V. Musliu | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.13 | 25 | 4 |
| J. Pupe | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.10 | 4 | 3 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burgess | Defender | 2 | 3 | 7.39 | 31 | 12 |
| C. Vanhoutte | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 7.38 | 5 | 12 |
| K. Mac Allister | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.32 | 30 | 11 |
| A. Khalaili | Attacker | 2 | 4 | 7.19 | 33 | 53 |
| A. Zorgane | Midfielder | 4 | 4 | 7.08 | 33 | 35 |
Current Form Guide
St. Truiden's recent form indicates a decline, with a record of WWDLL in their last five matches. They have conceded more goals than scored in recent fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals per game over the last 20 matches but struggling defensively with 1.2 goals conceded. In contrast, Union St. Gilloise is on an upward trajectory, with WDWWW in their last five games. They have shown consistency by allowing only 10 goals in their last 20 matches, and their form is characterized by a low standard deviation in goals, pointing to consistent performances.
Best Bet Recommendation
The Double Chance X2 at odds of 1.25 is the recommended bet. Union St. Gilloise is favored with a 46% win probability in the 1X2 market, supported by their superior defensive record and recent form. St. Truiden's declining trend and lower xG of 0.81 suggest they may struggle to break down Union's defense. The Double Chance market offers a risk-adjusted approach, providing coverage for a draw or a win for Union St. Gilloise, aligning with the statistical model and historical head-to-head data.
Goals & Market Analysis
The expected goal model predicts a total of 1.9 goals, with St. Truiden having an xG of 0.81 and Union St. Gilloise at 1.09. The probability for over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, while over 1.5 goals is more likely at 57%. St. Truiden's matches have seen over 2.5 goals 60% of the time in their last 20 games, compared to Union St. Gilloise's 35%. The BTTS (Both Teams to Score) probability is 46%, reflecting the defensive strengths of Union St. Gilloise, who have kept 11 clean sheets in the same period. Union's away form shows an average of 0.56 goals conceded per game, underscoring their defensive capabilities.
