🏆
Prediction
Arsenal @ 1.43
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.8
51% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.95
50% probability
Double Chance 1X @ 1.09
Arsenal's home dominance, with 13
wins in 17 matches, and Fulham's struggle on the road, with only 4 away
wins, make the Double Chance
1X bet a secure option. The model predicts Arsenal's
win probability at 69%, providing a strong edge over the market's implied probability.
💡 Arsenal's ability to maintain clean sheets at home, achieving 9 in 17 matches, significantly reduces Fulham's scoring potential, especially given Fulham's tendency to fail to
score in 7 away matches.
Final Result
Arsenal 3 : 0 Fulham
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Arsenal hosts Fulham at the Emirates Stadium in London, aiming to solidify their position at the top of the Premier League. With the league title in sight, Arsenal's recent form shows a slight dip, but their home record remains robust. Fulham, sitting mid-table, faces a tough challenge against a team that has won 6 of their last 10 encounters. In betting markets, Arsenal is heavily favored, yet there might be value in exploring other markets given the statistical insights.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded0.8
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets9
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets4
🏟️Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
60,383 capacity · Grass
⭐ Arsenal — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Rice | Midfielder | 4 | 5 | 7.45 | 33 | 62 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | Defender | 3 | 4 | 7.42 | 28 | 7 |
| B. Saka | Attacker | 6 | 3 | 7.20 | 28 | 55 |
| Martín Zubimendi | Midfielder | 5 | 1 | 7.11 | 34 | 17 |
| M. Ødegaard | Midfielder | 1 | 5 | 7.02 | 22 | 38 |
⭐ Fulham — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| H. Wilson | Midfielder | 10 | 6 | 7.18 | 32 | 34 |
| J. Andersen | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.08 | 31 | 7 |
| A. Iwobi | Midfielder | 4 | 3 | 7.06 | 27 | 40 |
| H. Reed | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 6.95 | 6 | 1 |
| K. Tete | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.93 | 22 | 11 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.09
Double Chance X22.75
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Verdict
Considering both teams' form and statistical profiles, Arsenal is strongly positioned to secure a win. Key players like B. Saka and M. Ødegaard are pivotal in orchestrating Arsenal's attacking play. The model's prediction of a 1-0 scoreline aligns with Arsenal's defensive strengths and Fulham's scoring struggles. With Arsenal's win probability at 69%, the odds of 1.43 offer a reasonable reflection of the expected outcome. The likelihood of Arsenal maintaining a clean sheet further supports a low-scoring game, making Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2 a potential value bet.
Focus: Arsenal
Arsenal's form at the Emirates has been formidable, with a record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their tactical setup in a 4-3-3 formation allows them to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities, evidenced by their 37 goals at home this season. Key players like B. Saka and D. Rice contribute significantly, with Saka providing 6 goals and 3 assists. Arsenal's defensive solidity is highlighted by their 9 clean sheets at home, conceding just 0.5 goals on average per game. This defensive record implies a strong home advantage, which aligns with their market odds of 1.43 to win.
The Visitors: Fulham
Fulham's away form has been inconsistent, with only 4 wins from 17 matches. They average 0.9 goals scored per game on the road, while conceding 1.2. H. Wilson is a key attacking threat, having scored 10 goals this season, yet Fulham's lack of scoring consistency is a concern. Defensively, they have managed just 3 clean sheets away, which suggests vulnerabilities that Arsenal could exploit. With odds of 7.4 for a Fulham win, the market reflects their underdog status. The challenge for Fulham will be breaking down Arsenal's resilient home defense, a task they've struggled with historically.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Arsenal vs Fulham?
Arsenal is predicted to
win with a 69% probability. This is supported by their strong home form, with 13
wins in 17 matches, and Fulham's poor away record of 4
wins. Arsenal's superior goal difference and defensive record at home further bolster their chances.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Fulham?
The model predicts a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals, with
odds of 1.8. However, given Arsenal's defensive record and Fulham's scoring issues, a lower-scoring
game is more plausible, suggesting a cautious approach to
betting on Over 2.5 goals.
3
What is the correct
score prediction for Arsenal vs Fulham?
The most likely
score according to the model is 1-0 in favor of Arsenal. This aligns with the expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for Arsenal and 0.33 for Fulham, reflecting their respective offensive and defensive capabilities.
4
Will both teams
score in Arsenal vs Fulham?
The BTTS
odds are 1.95 for Yes and 1.8 for No. Given Arsenal's 50% BTTS rate and Fulham's 55%, combined with Arsenal's strong clean sheet record at home, Fulham is more likely to fail to
score.
5
What is the best
bet for Arsenal vs Fulham?
The best value
bet is Double Chance 1X at
odds of 1.09. The model assigns a 69% probability to an Arsenal
win, providing a substantial edge over the market's implied probability, making this a low-risk option.
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Premier League02.05.2026
